CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs OG (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd3241b43ed9caf5409139bfc5380ade1883163f565dcade4e70defb1ba8d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed OG | 0c | 13,109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA | 79c | 5,495$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.9 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked OG | 21c | 3,528$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.39 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed OG | 22c | 3,158$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.86 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed OG | 23c | 1,679$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OG | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA | 77c | 936.93$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed OG | 25c | 666$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed FURIA | 79c | 435.84$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA | 80c | 403.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 19c | 363.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked FURIA | 79c | 297.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed OG | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked OG | 9c | 196.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked FURIA | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FURIA | 79c | 173.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 79c | 120.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 76c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed FURIA | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed OG | 14c | 94.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked OG | 20c | 87.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FURIA | 78c | 32.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.