Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Baylor Bears (-26.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafeb67260da8b0c84a1a8ae7a6e3e9c2cdaf988865058b88bd7a02e9728f03ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, Norfolk State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 3,102$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 2,995$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 2,232$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 1,690$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 1,471$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.95 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 1,441$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Norfolk State Spartans | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Norfolk State Spartans | 47c | 976.19$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 47c | 342.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 190.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 151$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 122.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…5663backed Norfolk State Spartans | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 37.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Norfolk State Spartans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Baylor Bears | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Norfolk State Spartans | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Norfolk State Spartans | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-26.5)this page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Baylor BearsBaylor Bears won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.