Tennis · resolved market
Ningbo Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08040a408e4ee9a07acf113cf19572f205a9af72958f01c2aef6ef95a0cff1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Alexandrova, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Alexandrova | 36c | 9,850$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.93 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rybakina | 58c | 8,750$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.49 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rybakina | 61c | 6,752$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.75 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Alexandrova | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexandrova | 44c | 2,956$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.65 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rybakina | 65c | 2,008$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rybakina | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexandrova | 47c | 1,480$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.18 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Alexandrova | 25c | 1,121$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Rybakina | 51c | 981.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Rybakina | 63c | 688.1$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Alexandrova | 53c | 637.85$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Rybakina | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Rybakina | 66c | 589.36$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Alexandrova | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 65c | 513.85$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alexandrova | 53c | 430.89$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Alexandrova | 37c | 378$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alexandrova | 46c | 348$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rybakina | 63c | 258$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Alexandrova | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Alexandrova | 34c | 245.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Alexandrova | 6c | 207.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Alexandrova | 37c | 205.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Alexandrova | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alexandrova | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rybakina | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Alexandrova | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Alexandrova | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Alexandrova | 37c | 131.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rybakina | 58c | 120.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Rybakina | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Rybakina | 49c | 115.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Rybakina | 40c | 111.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…e357backed Alexandrova | 53c | 100.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…08bfbacked Rybakina | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Alexandrova | 47c | 78.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Alexandrova | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Rybakina | 56c | 71.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Rybakina | 51c | 65.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Alexandrova | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Rybakina | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Alexandrova | 51c | 49.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Rybakina | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Rybakina | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Alexandrova | 54c | 25.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Rybakina | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.