TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning 2: Arthur Weber vs Giles Hussey

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giles Husseyof Arthur Weber, Giles Hussey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Weber8c5,189$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Arthur Weber7c2,619$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.512,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Weber4c1,198$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.723,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Giles Hussey73c1,092$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8924558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Arthur Weber37c1,043$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8529444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Weber12c1,003$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.025,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Giles Hussey63c886.61$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0532247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Giles Hussey78c321.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Weber16c308.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Weber21c264.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.389,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Weber15c257.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Weber8c211.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.394,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Giles Hussey68c183.28$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.651,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Giles Hussey74c175.44$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2819851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Arthur Weber28c170.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.614,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Giles Hussey66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4638664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Arthur Weber34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Arthur Weber18c77.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1811331%35 W · 78 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Giles Hussey67c52.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5956754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Giles Hussey65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac02…b942backed Giles Hussey73c44.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.956656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Arthur Weber32c40.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.891,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Giles Hussey66c30.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5214958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Giles Hussey65c29.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x593f…10e8backed Giles Hussey72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Giles Hussey73c27.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2311759.8%70 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Giles Hussey78c24.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2916370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Giles Hussey66c15.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3331339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.