NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08842aadb0128504d897b5b666b448918f7f2eef695a7b83d99c23eb68f707a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans | 29c | 1,544$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.71 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 34c | 1,487$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.63 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pelicans | 34c | 1,272$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.38 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,056$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 69c | 945.06$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Rockets | 65c | 909$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rockets | 66c | 821.92$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Rockets | 66c | 784.03$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans | 37c | 639.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 65c | 554.61$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Pelicans | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 64c | 275$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 25c | 265.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Rockets | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Rockets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Rockets | 76c | 152.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pelicans | 27c | 117.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rockets | 73c | 80.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Rockets | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Rockets | 68c | 47.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Pelicans | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…843ebacked Rockets | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockets | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.