South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09cf455d0930ba2fbd0bcd554a515a546f16522d6c73e97e1f4f2dc167b8fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 16c | 58,728$9,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,362.77 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.94 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 19c | 5,710$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.43 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 5,230$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 1,123$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 14c | 693.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes | 54c | 653.42$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 6c | 636.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 17c | 571.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 542.64$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 4c | 447.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 31c | 315.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 43c | 292.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 55c | 257.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 21c | 245.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 218.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…61e2backed Yes | 7c | 199.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 195.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…55ecbacked Yes | 56c | 170.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 17c | 107.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 26c | 105.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 12c | 89.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 15c | 87.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked No | 22c | 74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 65.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 29c | 55.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 51.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 48c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked No | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed No | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 47c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 76c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 45c | 24.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.