Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a49c1283dc139176a5a31d67cb584f68ead806ee6db0fc69ba9df5271fa370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 3,596$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.55 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed G2 NORD | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed G2 NORD | 29c | 1,553$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.55 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked G2 NORD | 35c | 1,298$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed G2 NORD | 56c | 770.08$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.25 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed G2 NORD | 16c | 662.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 552.13$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 375.47$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 280.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked G2 NORD | 56c | 238.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 NORD | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Eintracht Spandau | 48c | 151.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 NORD | 58c | 120.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 109.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 NORD | 53c | 101.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 NORD | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked G2 NORD | 59c | 96.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 NORD | 23c | 90.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked G2 NORD | 59c | 90.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 79.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked G2 NORD | 60c | 75.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eintracht Spandau | 53c | 75.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 NORD | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 NORD | 33c | 61.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Eintracht Spandau | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…56d2backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed G2 NORD | 62c | 58.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed G2 NORD | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 327 | 35.2%115 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed G2 NORD | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed G2 NORD | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eintracht Spandau | 40c | 46.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed G2 NORD | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eintracht Spandau | 48c | 37.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Eintracht Spandau | 45c | 36.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Eintracht Spandau | 42c | 36.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 79c | 34.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 51c | 29.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed G2 NORD | 60c | 23.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed G2 NORD | 56c | 22.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.