Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f9772d93d99d8031cfaa15bbe9417954059f36299bf7b67539764577556a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Alvercaof Gil Vicente FC, FC Alverca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,638 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Alverca | 77c | 1,293$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Gil Vicente FC | 23c | 1,171$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…3edfbacked Gil Vicente FC | 30c | 418.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…4d20backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 361$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a1…5c00backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 323$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…8cfdbacked Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 310$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8864backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 293$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…a3d2backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 277$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…34a5backed FC Alverca | 71c | 267$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…308ebacked FC Alverca | 71c | 253$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…2955backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 249$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…5d73backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 242$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02eb…e1b9backed FC Alverca | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…1edebacked Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 239$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…9defbacked FC Alverca | 71c | 235$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…cf3ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 219$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe446…b1b9backed FC Alverca | 71c | 218$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…e1b5backed FC Alverca | 71c | 215$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…468fbacked FC Alverca | 71c | 199$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…f1b5backed FC Alverca | 71c | 181$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…dbeebacked FC Alverca | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1474…f1d1backed FC Alverca | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…43f0backed FC Alverca | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5a…5e87backed FC Alverca | 71c | 164$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…4b9dbacked FC Alverca | 71c | 153$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…3e81backed FC Alverca | 70c | 152.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e9b3backed FC Alverca | 70c | 133.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…4897backed FC Alverca | 70c | 131.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…9562backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 129$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Gil Vicente FC | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 877 | 60.5%531 W · 346 L | +92.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Alverca | 74c | 95.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 2,316 | 42.8%991 W · 1,325 L | -41.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Gil Vicente FC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked FC Alverca | 75c | 45.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC Alverca | 69c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.