Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1205a4e6f7f1869168069fd6b7ae5360a84cb994e75128917f4834d2e7c36ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Nigeria, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nigeria | 40c | 1,154$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.47 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…0816backed Brazil | 54c | 551.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigeria | 18c | 466$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nigeria | 16c | 455.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nigeria | 13c | 438.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigeria | 7c | 345.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Nigeria | 33c | 251.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Brazil | 56c | 169.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 45c | 163.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigeria | 15c | 154.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Nigeria | 57c | 98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Nigeria | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Brazil | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Brazil | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…3f4ebacked Nigeria | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Brazil | 56c | 46.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Brazil | 54c | 37.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Nigeria | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Brazil | 70c | 29.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…8508backed Nigeria | 48c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…d18fbacked Brazil | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 47c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 269 | 29.4%79 W · 190 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Brazil | 66c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Nigeria | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Brazil | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.