Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb132885dfc335d68801275602951a3c3959ceb13f13a9ec326e414a14a4c589d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof BetBoom Team, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 53c | 2,000$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.67 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 1,786$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 1,214$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Heroic | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 57c | 643.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked BetBoom Team | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 229.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 163.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 53c | 137.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 68.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Heroic | 56c | 62.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Heroic | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.