Tennis · resolved market
Baton Rouge: Olaf Pieczkowski vs Stefan Dostanic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb138885bd029c21840632571f169366dea93bb0cdb60d46b22a6509c4e8f0339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dostanicof Pieczkowski, Dostanic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pieczkowski | 25c | 7,890$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dostanic | 77c | 5,621$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pieczkowski | 2c | 3,908$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dostanic | 75c | 1,984$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Dostanic | 71c | 640$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Pieczkowski | 25c | 581.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Pieczkowski | 29c | 444$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dostanic | 75c | 392.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dostanic | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pieczkowski | 15c | 274.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Dostanic | 76c | 182.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Pieczkowski | 28c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Dostanic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dostanic | 74c | 110.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pieczkowski | 11c | 102.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dostanic | 74c | 94.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dostanic | 72c | 93.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pieczkowski | 18c | 86.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Dostanic | 73c | 80.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Pieczkowski | 26c | 75.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Pieczkowski | 25c | 54.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dostanic | 71c | 40.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed Dostanic | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Pieczkowski | 27c | 37.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Pieczkowski | 31c | 36.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Dostanic | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Dostanic | 76c | 35.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Pieczkowski | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Dostanic | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dostanic | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Dostanic | 73c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baton Rouge: Olaf Pieczkowski vs Stefan Dostanicthis page
- Pieczkowski vs. Dostanic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.