Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb144c01b32254e44259536f014240620cc0343c2fbad7e696323e43610fcf17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 1,456$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 44c | 1,267$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.47 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 605.97$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 583.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 35c | 573.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 56c | 536.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 80c | 496.25$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 409.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 56c | 156$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 150.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 44c | 120.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 98.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 96.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 95.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 50c | 80.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 56c | 66.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 60.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 45c | 55.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 54.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 44c | 52.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 44c | 50.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 43.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 47c | 42.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 44c | 40.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 31.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 48c | 23.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…a053backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.