Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb160aacc67e703f318334f7b82da1b7ce723340ab79e89a4202973f321691eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 20c | 85,490$17,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,092.97 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 80c | 39,314$31,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,862.96 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 5,491$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.35 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 5,274$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed No | 80c | 4,474$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,869$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 2,994$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 2,848$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.08 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 2,020$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 894.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 3c | 751.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 80c | 745.75$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 527$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 424.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 80c | 360.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 353.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 323$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 19c | 292.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 687 | 50.7%348 W · 339 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 917 | 53.1%487 W · 430 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 377 | 49.9%188 W · 189 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 199.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 151.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 805 | 58%467 W · 338 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 129.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 21c | 124.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 80c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…9557backed Yes | 21c | 105.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 80c | 87.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 23c | 84.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 80c | 69.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 79c | 63.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 80c | 62.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed No | 80c | 62.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 57.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…57bebacked Yes | 21c | 57.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 23c | 49.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 80c | 29.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 80c | 28.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 27.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 80c | 23.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,306 | 51.2%669 W · 637 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 80c | 16.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.