TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc751…57be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101%+$15.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+193.9%+$32.96
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$43.16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$47.76
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+2,382.2%+$476.45
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+199.2%+$199.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$31.83
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$33.8
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$10.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+512.9%+$199.91
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+388.1%+$54.33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.57
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+95%+$49.4
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.13
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$29.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$31.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+350.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+87.1%+$17.41
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.