Premier League · resolved market
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1baaf14ec717b2d4369be99df0c731c9b70cb73d8600026851e608c39c323b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 2,620$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.43 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 2,198$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.94 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 1,402$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.57 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 1,089$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.41 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,038$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,005$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yes | 35c | 228.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 6c | 166.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 123.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 83.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 80.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 69.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 69.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 36c | 60.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 60.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 40c | 55.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 69c | 54.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 63c | 39.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 65c | 35.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 63c | 27.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 50c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 63c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Chesterfield FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.