Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb206358fb4826d5b816667eefdb4a2d4d8de0ded1eeae0ad39d83b0a3c82ee46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Rapid Wienof SK Rapid Wien, FC Santa Coloma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Santa Coloma | 8c | 479.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Rapid Wien | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Santa Coloma | 29c | 127.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked FC Santa Coloma | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Rapid Wien | 71c | 104.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Rapid Wien | 68c | 72.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Santa Coloma | 28c | 66.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked FC Santa Coloma | 32c | 51.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed FC Santa Coloma | 32c | 51.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)this page
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: FC Santa Coloma O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: FC Santa Coloma O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 5.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. FC Santa Coloma: SK Rapid Wien O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Santa Coloma (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)SK Rapid Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.