Tennis · resolved market
ITF Torino: Lia Karatancheva vs Beatrice Ricci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22596fccab0ba9269ebbe6253040b782d6011849bbcd6d6e138d15d65eb6f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beatrice Ricciof Lia Karatancheva, Beatrice Ricci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beatrice Ricci | 45c | 820.72$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 54c | 655.17$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.79 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 417.91$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Beatrice Ricci | 32c | 230.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Beatrice Ricci | 34c | 209.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Beatrice Ricci | 74c | 197.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Lia Karatancheva | 61c | 162.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Lia Karatancheva | 26c | 154.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Lia Karatancheva | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 107.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 53c | 104.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Beatrice Ricci | 36c | 100.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Beatrice Ricci | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lia Karatancheva | 66c | 97.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 64.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Beatrice Ricci | 44c | 57.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Beatrice Ricci | 36c | 54.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beatrice Ricci | 76c | 53.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Beatrice Ricci | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Beatrice Ricci | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beatrice Ricci | 39c | 30.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Lia Karatancheva | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Beatrice Ricci | 37c | 28.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.