TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fajing Sunof Fajing Sun, Ethan Cook
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ethan Cook8c18,948$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ethan Cook6c9,406$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.036,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ethan Cook10c9,090$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.411,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Ethan Cook12c2,323$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ethan Cook11c2,187$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.53,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Ethan Cook8c1,730$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1628835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Ethan Cook14c1,640$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.877945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ethan Cook3c1,316$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.86,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ethan Cook9c1,180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.471,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Ethan Cook7c1,020$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6823758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Ethan Cook9c1,001$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.371,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Ethan Cook8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ethan Cook7c996.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.722,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Ethan Cook8c950.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6132050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Ethan Cook9c935$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ethan Cook13c833.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9536944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ethan Cook14c688.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.194,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Ethan Cook6c660.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c8…0723backed Ethan Cook6c647.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ethan Cook7c625.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Ethan Cook12c581.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9629652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Ethan Cook10c552.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2524228.5%69 W · 173 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ethan Cook16c533.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Ethan Cook12c389.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.723444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Ethan Cook13c329.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.761,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Ethan Cook12c322.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.885728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Ethan Cook13c299.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9627346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ethan Cook5c297$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Ethan Cook10c281.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1930715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc024…148abacked Ethan Cook14c278.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de1…b933backed Ethan Cook7c215.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ethan Cook15c203.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.143,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Ethan Cook15c189.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Ethan Cook10c189.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Ethan Cook11c178.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.085957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Ethan Cook11c163.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.664742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Ethan Cook12c157.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8745051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Ethan Cook11c153.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9463746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Ethan Cook12c144.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Ethan Cook13c137.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1912047.5%57 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d0…8866backed Ethan Cook16c136.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Fajing Sun80c124.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2310454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Ethan Cook11c119.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.116645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Ethan Cook20c116.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8110160.4%61 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Ethan Cook13c100.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2744946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7fe…5731backed Ethan Cook12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec46…714cbacked Ethan Cook14c89.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Fajing Sun79c74.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3391880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Ethan Cook18c64.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…94fbbacked Ethan Cook18c58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-69%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Ethan Cook19c55.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6433557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.