Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2329ba6fcc5480dfd0bbdc841fe484c9f4d7a8b96189cda5b9a0cd41bd3c459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 21c | 16,496$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.1 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 9,628$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 9,288$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 15c | 3,040$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 2,996$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 15c | 1,100$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 1,037$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 7c | 925.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 25c | 807.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 730.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 15c | 649.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 13c | 410.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 347.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 234.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 6c | 195.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 19c | 172.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 12c | 150.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 149.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 11c | 142.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 21c | 140.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 23c | 132.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 17c | 105.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked No | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 88.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 75c | 87.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 16c | 84.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4d5fbacked Yes | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 47.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…477fbacked Yes | 79c | 41.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…f545backed Yes | 77c | 23.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.