Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb26d40fbff77b951311c2be14377c6a65f64e65dd8706d6668871301096078de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Once Upon A Teamof Once Upon A Team, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Once Upon A Team | 78c | 1,738$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed mCon esports | 39c | 1,111$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.87 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Once Upon A Team | 32c | 684.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.28 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed mCon esports | 40c | 638.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.8 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked mCon esports | 72c | 621.04$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.91 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Once Upon A Team | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed mCon esports | 67c | 431.34$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed mCon esports | 74c | 297.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Once Upon A Team | 34c | 285.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed mCon esports | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Once Upon A Team | 26c | 247.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed mCon esports | 66c | 145.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked mCon esports | 33c | 95.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mCon esports | 68c | 48.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed Once Upon A Team | 43c | 42.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Once Upon A Team | 34c | 41.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…88a5backed mCon esports | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed mCon esports | 75c | 24.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)Once Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.