Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c7dbc1abf0e365baa2040d078c04ad7d35e8ab23ce5e8e6d2fe6010d2231cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof Once Upon A Team, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked mCon esports | 67c | 384.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked mCon esports | 64c | 352.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Once Upon A Team | 3c | 315.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Once Upon A Team | 33c | 295$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Once Upon A Team | 13c | 228$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Once Upon A Team | 29c | 208.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Once Upon A Team | 40c | 193.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked mCon esports | 69c | 142.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed mCon esports | 65c | 110.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked mCon esports | 44c | 107.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Once Upon A Team | 47c | 90.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed mCon esports | 53c | 82.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Once Upon A Team | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Once Upon A Team | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Once Upon A Team | 24c | 49.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Once Upon A Team | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Once Upon A Team | 37c | 28.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked mCon esports | 62c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)Once Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonOnce Upon A Team won
- LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerOnce Upon A Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.