MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb287bed397787f8e2661e49a32e393afb7f6108508d72bd3526df7590f30a764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 3,526$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,640$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 646.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 217.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 31c | 190$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 62c | 96.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 38c | 91.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 90.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 64c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 49.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 42.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 39c | 36.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 31.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 39c | 27.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.