Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ruddy Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2faa9d18b8cc00a828dfaebd1ff1b69ce63b473c20d9f6e19901a3f73a70ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Ruddy Esports, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Verdant | 9c | 4,268$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.56 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Verdant | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ruddy Esports | 14c | 728$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 222 | 34.7%77 W · 145 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Verdant | 9c | 700$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Verdant | 11c | 497.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Ruddy Esports | 8c | 478.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…6816backed Verdant | 9c | 411.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Verdant | 10c | 405$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.69 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Verdant | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Ruddy Esports | 9c | 162.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…0f39backed Ruddy Esports | 10c | 153.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruddy Esports | 10c | 131.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Ruddy Esports | 9c | 121.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ruddy Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.