Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30978ac35466813082fe6fa5437e09145a0d946978272f95098444b9f90f587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 5,068$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.34 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 4,075$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.17 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 14c | 1,350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Over | 7c | 650$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 65c | 462$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 21c | 241.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 24c | 152.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 126.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 98.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…314abacked Under | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.