Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec776de58e36e2bfa4f9e0c913ddb477e7ff855070d5d212dc38e4250ef0747b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angers SCOof Toulouse FC, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Toulouse FC | 20c | 4,683$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.07 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angers SCO | 80c | 4,393$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.81 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Toulouse FC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 1,293$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 431$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Toulouse FC | 21c | 210$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Angers SCO | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Angers SCO | 80c | 119$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Toulouse FC | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Toulouse FC | 18c | 60.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toulouse FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Angers SCO | 79c | 27.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Angers SCO | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Angers SCO | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Angers SCO | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)this page
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.