CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31dd5a79d3272e4c4d64fff754bf405132c2b59bef251f9b645fded43784913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, Sashi Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Sashi Academy | 43c | 6,920$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.29 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 2,850$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Academy | 12c | 2,273$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 1,582$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.69 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Sashi Academy | 20c | 761.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 430.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rebels Gaming | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 334.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sashi Academy | 42c | 301.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Rebels Gaming | 60c | 256.73$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Rebels Gaming | 59c | 251.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 237.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…8c60backed Rebels Gaming | 78c | 164.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Sashi Academy | 14c | 148.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Rebels Gaming | 60c | 131.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Sashi Academy | 49c | 130.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 129.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Sashi Academy | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 88.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Sashi Academy | 45c | 85.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 67.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rebels Gaming | 64c | 53.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Rebels Gaming | 59c | 53.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 51.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Sashi Academy | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked Sashi Academy | 41c | 42.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Rebels Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…b869backed Rebels Gaming | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.