Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb369ca2bc6eb9e09c29fe3c16a428f387889112faa5893654979c7cc1913ba44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Kilian Feldbausch, Laurent Lokoli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laurent Lokoli | 11c | 3,590$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 2,707$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.11 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Laurent Lokoli | 28c | 2,135$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.54 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laurent Lokoli | 22c | 1,493$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laurent Lokoli | 5c | 1,181$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Laurent Lokoli | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.91 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Laurent Lokoli | 13c | 703.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Laurent Lokoli | 27c | 649.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 635.56$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Laurent Lokoli | 30c | 496.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Laurent Lokoli | 25c | 392$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 363.53$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Laurent Lokoli | 5c | 275.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 263.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…ee54backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 234.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laurent Lokoli | 12c | 218.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 11c | 194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Kilian Feldbausch | 67c | 182.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Laurent Lokoli | 10c | 179.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Laurent Lokoli | 11c | 153.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 149.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Laurent Lokoli | 14c | 148.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Kilian Feldbausch | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 127$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 117.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Laurent Lokoli | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Laurent Lokoli | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Laurent Lokoli | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Laurent Lokoli | 24c | 84.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Laurent Lokoli | 25c | 80.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Laurent Lokoli | 14c | 78.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kilian Feldbausch | 64c | 71.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 47.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 24.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kilian Feldbausch | 74c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.