Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb383e12e82fae0b031d9de42af61c42ad75676e56f5acbb2d1a756ead56231cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof T1, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed DRX | 27c | 14,280$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,384.47 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7169backed T1 | 73c | 10,137$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed DRX | 25c | 4,080$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.05 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed T1 | 75c | 3,709$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.68 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 73c | 3,577$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.98 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked T1 | 74c | 2,688$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.22 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DRX | 27c | 2,314$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.62 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed T1 | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DRX | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked DRX | 26c | 1,047$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.9 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DRX | 26c | 749.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed DRX | 26c | 523.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed T1 | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed T1 | 73c | 410.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…c02abacked T1 | 74c | 407.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed T1 | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked T1 | 74c | 238.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…4d7dbacked T1 | 75c | 231.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked T1 | 73c | 163.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked T1 | 68c | 142.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed T1 | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed T1 | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed T1 | 78c | 95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked T1 | 73c | 81.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked DRX | 26c | 71.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed T1 | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed T1 | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…ecd1backed T1 | 75c | 61.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed DRX | 29c | 61.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a8…33dbbacked DRX | 49c | 60.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked T1 | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.