Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c1b20b70ad5fe0408f64270fedb324e210c03543ac436adff93d04541da159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 54c | 24,336$13,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,141.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 46c | 24,332$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,082.91 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,345$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,082$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 799.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 532$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.96 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 448.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 141.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…19f9backed Over | 61c | 100.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 43c | 81.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 51c | 57.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Under | 38c | 54.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 79c | 32.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 30.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 26.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 148.5this page
- Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State SeminolesFlorida State Seminoles won
- Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-11.5)Boston College Eagles won
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-12.5)Boston College Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.