Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c97b6ca95060d507a9997e2a2045442b1aa2ee09bb89b9123062bb174bbf22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 886$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 865$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 857$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 825$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 815$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 807.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…4b45backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 784$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 707$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…4921backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 607$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 472$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 455$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…b442backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 452$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 433$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…a500backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 432$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 431$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 431$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 428$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 403.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 394$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Beşiktaş Esports | 63c | 384.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…9274backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 374$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 324$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 312$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 283$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 279$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…2394backed Beşiktaş Esports | 72c | 265.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Beşiktaş Esports | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…6183backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 159.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 64c | 156.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 71c | 139.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 111.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 71c | 101.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Beşiktaş Esports | 76c | 83.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 64c | 77.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 75.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…82c2backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 74.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 66.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 58.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 54.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Beşiktaş Esports | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 47.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…23b9backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 44.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…edb6backed Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 42.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Beşiktaş Esports | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Beşiktaş Esports | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…aa44backed Beşiktaş Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 58c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…d9d0backed Beşiktaş Esports | 65c | 15.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.