Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e9681b8108f6cf82b022194f26678dc09a0a9c226e35106dd03b53ef4fc273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Joventut | 8c | 1,570$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Joventut | 25c | 1,503$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.83 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Joventut | 24c | 630$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…f2ffbacked Valencia | 76c | 630$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Valencia | 75c | 567.36$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Joventut | 11c | 477.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Valencia | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Joventut | 15c | 250.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joventut | 17c | 237.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joventut | 7c | 207.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joventut | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed Joventut | 11c | 124.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Valencia | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Joventut | 9c | 117.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Joventut | 26c | 109.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…75babacked Valencia | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Valencia | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Joventut | 24c | 65.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked Valencia | 76c | 65.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Joventut | 26c | 58.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Joventut | 24c | 57.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Valencia | 75c | 44.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Valencia | 75c | 39.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d0…350abacked Valencia | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…b31dbacked Valencia | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Valencia | 77c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Valencia | 73c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Joventutthis page
- Spread: Valencia (-12.5)Valencia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.