TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Vålerenga Fotballof Aalesunds FK, Vålerenga Fotball
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,533 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Vålerenga Fotball80c5,469$4,375 inWon+$1,094.767,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Aalesunds FK31c4,909$1,507 inLost-$1,506.895,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Aalesunds FK19c883.92$170 inLost-$169.642,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Vålerenga Fotball74c145$107 inWon+$37.75750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Vålerenga Fotball71c70.47$50 inWon+$20.2332257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Vålerenga Fotball71c70.47$50 inWon+$20.2355954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Vålerenga Fotball71c54.15$38 inWon+$15.6524466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Vålerenga Fotball73c47$34 inWon+$12.8929754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Aalesunds FK32c43.78$14 inLost-$13.914055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Vålerenga Fotball79c40.06$32 inWon+$8.4335163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Vålerenga Fotball73c19.25$14 inWon+$5.2812664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.