CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f8a602d75ca35fc00816edf28d09464909befb7cc4c5c2f2e2a64b5fd0712f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 18c | 1,712$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 20c | 1,247$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 17c | 1,033$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 18c | 654.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 577.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 19c | 408.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 15c | 237.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4bdbbacked Over | 13c | 168.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 9c | 141.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 14c | 141.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 17c | 129.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 18c | 129.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 24c | 68.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 76c | 68.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.