CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb43d29a5d3b135d5c61fc77dfbbc9cf426822d56948da1ddb374b64f688711a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,767 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 13c | 3,067$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed SAW | 29c | 2,551$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Voca | 70c | 1,530$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.92 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed SAW | 30c | 1,528$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Voca | 71c | 972$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Voca | 71c | 900$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Voca | 72c | 800$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed SAW | 26c | 607.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SAW | 28c | 565.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed SAW | 23c | 533.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Voca | 75c | 525.49$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Voca | 79c | 423.38$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Voca | 70c | 349$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 18c | 347.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Voca | 73c | 296.48$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Voca | 68c | 165.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Voca | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked SAW | 22c | 74.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Voca | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Voca | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked SAW | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Voca | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SAW | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 75c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Voca | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Voca | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Voca | 71c | 27.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Voca | 70c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Voca | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.