Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4483a9afb94ec7eea81bf34468db2a679110b3ac670884957b4c9d670702965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arctic Pandasof Arctic Pandas, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Arctic Pandas | 72c | 3,180$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Arctic Pandas | 74c | 2,279$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.58 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed DMG Esports | 20c | 1,655$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked DMG Esports | 1c | 1,569$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DMG Esports | 25c | 1,468$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed DMG Esports | 30c | 1,267$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.51 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DMG Esports | 30c | 497.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Arctic Pandas | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DMG Esports | 32c | 270.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Arctic Pandas | 48c | 190.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DMG Esports | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Arctic Pandas | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed DMG Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Arctic Pandas | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…3691backed DMG Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Arctic Pandas | 80c | 98.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DMG Esports | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked DMG Esports | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed DMG Esports | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed DMG Esports | 28c | 53.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed DMG Esports | 31c | 45.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Arctic Pandas | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Arctic Pandas | 78c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Arctic Pandas | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…5024backed Arctic Pandas | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Arctic Pandas | 73c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports (BO5) - NLC PlayoffsArctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerArctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 3 WinnerArctic Pandas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.