Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48dca4b8a393a950eb8634d981552e989b47c859e2b22fc823cc364b5583184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEOM SCof Al Ittihad Saudi Club, NEOM SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 33c | 597.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked NEOM SC | 67c | 422.78$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 18c | 399$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked NEOM SC | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked NEOM SC | 78c | 162.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 16c | 118.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked NEOM SC | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.