Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c7810cba9aaf91e94e128beb9f86c9cea94935622d793e012d3c837d0abb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Under | 68c | 735.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 365.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 284.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 124.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 124.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 33c | 89.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 57c | 56.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 41.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 41.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.