Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Burruchaga vs Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5011059b18d2f593c5e668b54db29113b948b4efe610d1c769ae9b0503bd772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Burruchaga, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burruchaga | 51c | 857.78$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Etcheverry | 40c | 306.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Burruchaga | 61c | 240.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Etcheverry | 46c | 179.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Etcheverry | 61c | 110.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Etcheverry | 42c | 102.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Etcheverry | 50c | 99.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Etcheverry | 45c | 98.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Etcheverry | 59c | 92.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…f3e0backed Burruchaga | 57c | 72.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Etcheverry | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed Etcheverry | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3c6fbacked Etcheverry | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Etcheverry | 48c | 41.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…6521backed Burruchaga | 55c | 38.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Etcheverry | 45c | 36.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Etcheverry | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…b717backed Burruchaga | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed Burruchaga | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6989backed Burruchaga | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Burruchaga | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Etcheverry | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed Etcheverry | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Etcheverry | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Etcheverry | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Etcheverry | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Etcheverry | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Etcheverry | 66c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Etcheverry | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Etcheverry | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Etcheverry | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…8635backed Etcheverry | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Burruchaga vs Etcheverrythis page
- Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tomas EtcheverryEtcheverry won
- Burruchaga vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Burruchaga vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Burruchaga vs. Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)Burruchaga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.