Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Moez Echargui vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51e868305f76ef4c6b143658c5fa8d908f6031c6d28627e5099c31ccdb0bc33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tsitsipasof Echargui, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Echargui | 10c | 11,388$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.75 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Echargui | 3c | 6,070$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Echargui | 3c | 5,998$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Echargui | 10c | 3,787$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.75 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Echargui | 12c | 2,969$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Echargui | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Echargui | 10c | 1,888$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Echargui | 1c | 1,537$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Echargui | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Echargui | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Echargui | 9c | 764.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Echargui | 9c | 676.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Echargui | 11c | 666$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…8125backed Echargui | 5c | 635.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…c168backed Echargui | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Echargui | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Echargui | 11c | 396.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Echargui | 4c | 394.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Echargui | 4c | 346.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Echargui | 8c | 285.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Echargui | 11c | 273.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Echargui | 12c | 272$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Echargui | 14c | 231$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Echargui | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a376backed Echargui | 11c | 141.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Echargui | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Echargui | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Moez Echargui vs Stefanos Tsitsipasthis page
- Echargui vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Echargui (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.