Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Oliynykova vs Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5202f9e70406752496821b6f68a3eb38b4fc4c09e9886c470331cfc516018fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliynykovaof Oliynykova, Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tagger | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.86 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Oliynykova | 42c | 466$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…17d5backed Oliynykova | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Oliynykova | 43c | 380$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Tagger | 52c | 378.62$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oliynykova | 42c | 208$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tagger | 25c | 197.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Tagger | 50c | 192.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oliynykova | 52c | 163.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Oliynykova | 48c | 152.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tagger | 23c | 140.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Tagger | 56c | 128.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Oliynykova | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oliynykova | 41c | 94.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Tagger | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Oliynykova | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tagger | 33c | 57.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oliynykova | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Oliynykova | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…7cb3backed Tagger | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Oliynykova | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Oliynykova vs Taggerthis page
- Oleksandra Oliynykova vs. Lilli Tagger: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli TaggerOleksandra Oliynykova won
- Set Handicap: Tagger (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)Oliynykova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.