CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb54e5207bf11c0815293e23afad72582446e53258cfe8adfc1b4861c818e3cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof OG, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 2,962$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.4 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 61c | 2,384$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked OG | 66c | 1,108$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.1 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 835.8$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.81 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 535$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed OG | 54c | 348.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed OG | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed OG | 27c | 283.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed OG | 63c | 239.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 239.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 154.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 74c | 93.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked OG | 56c | 85.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 69.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked OG | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed OG | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed OG | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 37c | 35.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed OG | 69c | 32.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked OG | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.