Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. T1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb562597294c459b5f0ee8df7d60758ce73da6bc183809627ecb03d80351074c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Nongshim, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nongshim | 11c | 147,191$15,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,821.52 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 8c | 17,480$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.04 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nongshim | 8c | 12,628$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.55 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nongshim | 5c | 9,083$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Nongshim | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Nongshim | 6c | 3,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 10c | 2,558$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim | 12c | 1,739$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Nongshim | 2c | 1,730$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nongshim | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nongshim | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Nongshim | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Nongshim | 7c | 676.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Nongshim | 12c | 641.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nongshim | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 9c | 499$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nongshim | 5c | 486.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Nongshim | 13c | 383.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Nongshim | 9c | 271.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Nongshim | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Nongshim | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nongshim | 12c | 199.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Nongshim | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…1310backed Nongshim | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Nongshim | 12c | 119.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…d977backed Nongshim | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Nongshim | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.