Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57c82009fd0e4aa0dee5aa370cb1899eddf8000f435ac28cb4065abc10fc8da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 5,553$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,221$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.93 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 721.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 567.73$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 33c | 544.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 291.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 43c | 285.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 231.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 64c | 156.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 150.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 128.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 110.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 19c | 72.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 37c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 34c | 53.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 65c | 52.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 52.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 38c | 40.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 39c | 38.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 66c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 62c | 33.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 32.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda83…be6abacked No | 63c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 80c | 19.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.