Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5da137d5e68bdddba5e1ab221e5114078334f875337074057abdb1d59d3dad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec6…a2f1backed LUA Gaming | 19c | 5,632$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 1,350$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LUA Gaming | 16c | 798.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed LUA Gaming | 16c | 694.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked LUA Gaming | 16c | 682.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked LUA Gaming | 19c | 548.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LUA Gaming | 20c | 437.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked LUA Gaming | 16c | 415.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed LUA Gaming | 16c | 338.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked LUA Gaming | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LUA Gaming | 19c | 237.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed LUA Gaming | 10c | 182.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed LUA Gaming | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.