Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb649d1fa4fccd6d8686d3f99414af47826906cca327fdbe09bd9d38888b25973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 882.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 723.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 47c | 688.41$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.52 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 566.81$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 478.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 445.25$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 54c | 435$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 312.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 280$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 45c | 266.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 259.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 44c | 139.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 56c | 137.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 124.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 109.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 55c | 90.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 34c | 58.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 46c | 35.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…5d0abacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…4f46backed Over | 45c | 28.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 54c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…5a7dbacked Under | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 26.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…7754backed Under | 56c | 21.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.