Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maria Sakkari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb651fdae436433bdce1503867ce7074389f0a586d70cec1724935fb30b39ee7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fernandezof Fernandez, Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Sakkari | 32c | 8,846$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.72 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Fernandez | 60c | 6,406$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Sakkari | 36c | 6,370$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.69 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Fernandez | 69c | 4,199$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fernandez | 67c | 3,610$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sakkari | 51c | 2,008$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.97 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fernandez | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Sakkari | 34c | 1,500$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sakkari | 32c | 1,194$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sakkari | 24c | 1,146$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Fernandez | 70c | 616.84$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sakkari | 22c | 494.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sakkari | 30c | 417$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Sakkari | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Fernandez | 62c | 377.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Sakkari | 34c | 348.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Sakkari | 36c | 295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sakkari | 30c | 241$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Sakkari | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Fernandez | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Fernandez | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fernandez | 80c | 135$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fernandez | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sakkari | 34c | 126.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Sakkari | 28c | 80.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Fernandez | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Fernandez | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…df17backed Fernandez | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Fernandez | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Sakkari | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fernandez | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fernandez | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.