Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Paulo Dos Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65be9e01a3b7155e9587abdf811299fbfca6fbfc2b7f15f1cae87d5b6d39451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogiof Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, Paulo Dos Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Paulo Dos Santos | 6c | 2,365$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 990.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 75c | 958.42$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 25c | 760.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 19c | 529.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 80c | 402.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Paulo Dos Santos | 7c | 355.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Paulo Dos Santos | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 231.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Paulo Dos Santos | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Paulo Dos Santos | 17c | 155.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Paulo Dos Santos | 10c | 147.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Paulo Dos Santos | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Paulo Dos Santos | 27c | 99.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Paulo Dos Santos | 18c | 76.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 27c | 49.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 72c | 47.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 79c | 36.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 27.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 79c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 77c | 24.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 76c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.