Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb662e03875145b6ab82e87f47752b38d94aa330b915d5f503df578a9079efced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Cal State Fullerton Titans, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 729.78$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 605.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 39c | 573.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 254$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61c | 169.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 165.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 43c | 143.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 131.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 103.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 11c | 99.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 62c | 97.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 53c | 76.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…4aa3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 53c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Cal Poly Mustangsthis page
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.