Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6687b1434b17f96b617b364c947633f16e0e02c9c85273b7ca3d0680b6f07f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 2,353$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.93 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 2,331$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.37 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 1,150$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,018$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.16 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 743.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 695.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 679.68$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 653.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 551.35$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 497.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 443.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 438.28$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 331.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 294.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 245.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 183$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 181.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 173.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 114.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 104.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 52.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 49.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 46.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 44.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.