Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67e138b5c69c4542330df25ba32af58bca61eb45137fcc99f026322c0dd979e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 74c | 3,725$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 3,207$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.94 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 2,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 14c | 2,061$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 862.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 15c | 653.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 16c | 315.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 268.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 15c | 155.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 16c | 152.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 76c | 139.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 9c | 133.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…9fdabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 22c | 76.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 76.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 76c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 79c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Nevada Wolf Packthis page
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.